A 83-page "Report" of the Department of Industrial Economics of the Development Research Center of the State Council pointed out that by 2020, China's car ownership will reach 150 million vehicles. If the proportion of diesel passenger cars is assumed to be 30% in that year, then 28.73 million tons of crude oil will be saved, 10.1% of automobile oil will be reduced, and 11.3% of oil will be imported.
At the same time, the "Report" also recommends the implementation of fuel tax as soon as possible, the reform of vehicle purchase tax and consumption tax, and other four incentive measures, and vigorously develop advanced diesel engines and related energy industries.
Can diesel vehicles balance energy saving and environmental protection?
The China Resources Comprehensive Utilization Association’s Resource Saving and Substitution Committee has also proposed that the “China Diesel Diesel Car Development Proposal†also proposes that diesel passenger cars can save more than 30% of fuel compared with gasoline vehicles of equivalent displacement. If the average passenger car travels 20,000 kilometers per year, it can save 600 liters of fuel per vehicle per year. Calculating the average service life of each vehicle for 15 years, it can save 9,000 liters of oil within the life of a bicycle.
In 2004, the total sales volume of the Chinese car market was 2.25 million. If 20% of them were diesel cars, they could accumulate more than 3 billion liters of oil during their service life, worth RMB 10 billion. The sales volume of 0.6% highlights two major bottlenecks. In 2004, China sold 12,654 diesel cars, accounting for less than 0.6% of the total car sales. At present, diesel cars in some countries in Europe have already supported half of the car market, and the energy saving effect is self-evident.
"At present, the ratio of diesel vehicles in Europe is 50%, and we must also develop toward this goal." Fu Youwu, the secretary-general of the China Automobile Engineering Society, said in an interview with reporters that China's development of diesel vehicles has been put on the agenda. At present, China has formed. The policy environment for the development of diesel vehicles. Today, the price of diesel oil continues to rise, and the economic efficiency of diesel vehicles is particularly prominent. Fu Yuwu believes that during the development of the automobile industry, gasoline, diesel, and alternative energy sources are the three stages of development and the common road for the development of the world's auto industry. The development of the Chinese auto industry will also be the case.
However, some experts believe that at present, diesel vehicles cannot achieve both fish and bear's paws.
Dr. He Dongquan of the U.S. Energy Foundation believes that "China should develop caution when developing diesel vehicles." He believes that the emission of particulates from diesel vehicles is many times smaller than the diameter of the particles emitted by gasoline. It is not easy to find, but the damage may be even greater. At present, the emissions of diesel vehicles can barely reach Euro IV standards, but if the Euro V standard is implemented in the future, diesel The car's emissions must not meet the requirements. He Dongquan warned that Europe will implement the Euro V emission standards in 2010, and that the diesel vehicle emissions will certainly not meet the standards. In the long run, diesel vehicles are definitely not good for the environment. Therefore, at present, China encourages the development of diesel vehicles, should be cautious, can not blindly effect France.
Policy technology to solve diesel car problems
The relevant personages of the development plan for diesel vehicles during the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" were introduced. Regarding the debate on diesel vehicles in European countries and the United States, relevant national departments have already learned about them. However, the focus of the debate is on the balance between efficiency and environmental protection. He told reporters that within 20 years, diesel is the best alternative solution to the Chinese energy crisis. We have already decided to put the development of diesel vehicles into the “Eleventh Five-Year Planâ€.
Wang Jianzeng, executive vice president of the China Resources Comprehensive Utilization Association, said that the factors that restrict the development of the diesel car market in China are mainly technology and policy.
Technical bottlenecks mainly come from engine technology, tail gas treatment, and oil quality. Data shows that the overall technical level of China's diesel engines has lagged behind the international advanced level for 10 to 15 years. The policy constraints can be divided into two aspects. First, due to environmental considerations, there are still policies prohibiting or restricting the use of diesel vehicles in some regions. The second is the lack of necessary policies. In some European countries, diesel is much cheaper than gasoline.
Domestic companies do not develop diesel vehicles. Chen Yinda, vice president of Shanghai Automotive Industry Group, told reporters: "Shangqi will definitely develop diesel vehicles, but the refining process of diesel will take a lot of effort. The development of diesel engines, diesel prices, environmental protection and other issues are urgently needed to solve. At present, we have no special The plan will be launched in the future if the market needs it.†The relevant personage of the planning and development department of Dongfeng Motor Company also stated that we must look at the market situation for the development of diesel vehicles. There is no specific implementation plan at present.
In response to this, the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan†informed sources said that domestic companies are still adopting a wait-and-see attitude, and the relevant state departments are also very clear. However, after the development plan for diesel vehicles comes out, I believe that companies will not sit idly by, because they can pass it by then. Lower diesel prices to adjust.
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