In the four rounds of the World Cup, the car license plate will debut in two months. But compared to the joy that the World Cup brings to people, the result of the just-ending lottery can only make most people feel guilty.
On June 26th, the results of the third phase of Beijing's lottery were released, and the winning ratio has climbed to 137:1. At the same time, in the first five months of this year, Beijing accumulated a total of 230,500 new cars, down 0.9% from last year's 232,600 vehicles. In the national market, the average figure of this figure was 9.86% year-on-year. When license plates become scarce resources, the result of people's willingness to spend is to lean toward high-end brands. At one end of the balance, the self-owned brand represented by Chery's first Beijing 4S store exited, and at the other end, the domestic and imported models including many luxury car brands rose step by step.
It is difficult to put the board on the “restriction purchase†policy of Beijing, which has been in operation for more than three years. After all, the original intention of this policy is to ease the traffic pressure in the capital and protect the citizens’ right to travel smoothly. But in any case, this policy has increasingly become a straw that crushes its own brand, and it is getting more and more powerful.
If any policy is difficult to achieve, then another recent policy of restricting purchase restrictions has really made policy makers a dilemma.
A few days ago, it was reported that Beijing will introduce an electric vehicle policy in late June and early July. The motor vehicle regional restriction policy implemented by Beijing recently started after the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. Private cars were parked one day a week for five working days. In the notice numbered “Jing Zheng Fa [2008] No. 39â€, policy makers explicitly stated that the purpose of the restriction was to “reduce the impact of vehicle exhaust emissions on air quality and keep traffic basically smoothâ€.
From the original intention of the policy, zero-emission electric vehicles are undoubtedly consistent with the policy of “reducing the impact of vehicle exhaust emissions on air qualityâ€, but as an electric vehicle that is also driving on the road, it is not limited. It means taking up more road traffic resources. In layman's terms, electric cars are also cars, and there are many cars, and they are not limited. It will naturally contradict the original intention of “maintaining smooth traffic†in the policy of restricting travel.
Of course, at this stage, such fears may be worrying. The data shows that since the opening of the new energy vehicle in Beijing, the number of successful first-stage lottery has reached 6,600, but the actual number of new energy buses that have been put on the card by the number is only 320, and the number of cards in May was 216. Compared with the current car ownership of more than 5 million vehicles in Beijing, even if the 6600 electric vehicle indicators are all converted into actual purchases, it is only a small one. However, according to Beijing's plan, it is estimated that the sales of new energy vehicles will reach 170,000 in the next three years. Then, the nearly 200,000 electric vehicles that are not restricted by the tail number will inevitably increase the road traffic burden in Beijing.
Between the blue sky and the smooth flow, policy makers face a dilemma of reality.
The dilemma is not only whether the restrictions on electric vehicles are open, but also whether to subsidize imported electric vehicle brands including Tesla, which is also a dilemma.
According to Beijing's current subsidy standards for electric vehicles, bicycle subsidies can reach up to 114,000 yuan. According to the average subsidy of 100,000 yuan for bicycles, this year, 20,000 units will be promoted, and Beijing will pay 2 billion yuan for this year. If the same subsidies are imposed on imported electric vehicles such as the BMW i3 that have already been sold in China and will be listed in September this year, this number will undoubtedly be higher.
Regardless of Beijing's finances, the orientation of subsidy policy alone is a controversial topic. Whether Tesla or BMW i3, its high price is obviously not acceptable to ordinary consumers, and when they become the "toys" of "high", what is the significance of the bicycle subsidy? But if Tesla is not subsidized, it is also suspected of "unfair competition."
The original intention of the government to introduce a subsidy policy for new energy vehicles is to lower the threshold for new energy vehicles to enter the homes of ordinary people, and then promote them in large areas, and finally achieve the ultimate goal of energy conservation and emission reduction. But the reality is that even if subsidies are given to Tesla, it is impossible to expand consumer groups.
From total control, mitigation of congestion, to supporting autonomy, car power; from the blue sky, or to smooth; from domestic and imported electric vehicles, or both inside and outside ... limit, limit purchase policy has inevitably caught in a dilemma .